This idea did not hold up.
An OddSage paper research test record. No wallet connection or live order.
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- Market
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- Idea
- The Yes price remains below 5¢ and continues drifting down.
- What would disprove it
- The Yes price reaches 8¢ or higher, or ends above where it began.
- Verdict
- Negative at 30 minutes — kill
- Completed observations
- 13 signals
- Mean adjusted result
- −0.61%
- Likely range
- −0.94% to −0.33%